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Thursday, 8 May 2025

Study Reveals 2018 Anak Krakatau Tsunami Could Have Been Predicted as Volcano Showed Years of Slippage Detected by Satellite Radar

In December 2018, the catastrophic eruption of Anak Krakatau in Indonesia triggered a deadly tsunami, claiming over 400 lives. Recent research highlights that the volcano had been undergoing gradual slippage for years, detectable through satellite radar technology. This finding underscores the potential for predicting such disasters with enhanced monitoring, a critical topic for competitive exams.

Catastrophic Collapse and Tsunami
The eruption caused the southwest flank of Anak Krakatau to collapse into the ocean, triggering a devastating tsunami. Coastal communities in Java and Sumatra faced severe destruction, with thousands injured and significant damage to infrastructure. This event ranks among Indonesia’s deadliest natural disasters in recent decades.

Role of InSAR Technology
Research from Penn State reveals that the volcano’s flank had been slowly shifting for over a decade. Using Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), scientists analyzed satellite data to detect subtle surface changes. The study noted accelerated slippage in the months before the eruption, signaling potential instability.

Need for Predictive Monitoring
The findings emphasize the importance of predictive monitoring for volcanic activity. The absence of ground-based instruments at Anak Krakatau highlighted a significant gap in monitoring systems. InSAR-based remote sensing could have identified the volcano’s instability, potentially averting the disaster.

Gradual Movement and Collapse
From 2006 to 2018, the volcano experienced approximately 15 meters of slippage. Periods of accelerated movement were identified, acting as warning signs of an impending collapse. This slow landslide-like behavior can escalate into catastrophic events, making early detection critical.

Leveraging Satellite Technology
The study advocates for near-real-time monitoring using InSAR, especially for oceanic volcanoes lacking traditional systems. This technology offers vital insights into volcanic behavior, enabling timely interventions in high-risk areas without relying solely on ground-based data.

Safety and Cost Barriers
Ground-based monitoring faces challenges like safety risks, high costs, and logistical issues such as permits and funding. InSAR provides a complementary solution, enhancing volcano monitoring by offering a safer, cost-effective approach to detecting changes in volcanic activity.